Tuesday, December 14, 2010

NFL Week 14 - The Week of the Backdoor Cover

Week #14: AKA the Back Door Cover
Week #14 of the NFL Season definitely has a theme to it.  That theme:  The Back Door Cover.

Twice this week we got burned by some rather tragic back door covers on our picks.  First of course was one of the all time worst ever in the Colts game on Thursday.  (See our earlier post from Saturday on that one.)  But then there were a couple more.

The Redskins, who were +2 dogs at kickoff vs the Bucs were down a touchdown with only seconds left in their game.  To their Credit the Redskins had dominated the game, running all over the Bucs Defense and should have been ahead as FG kicker Gano shanked a few field goals in the game.   The Redskins somehow magically find a way to drive down for the tying TD with 9 seconds left and are an extra point away from a tie game.  Betters on the Bucs were hoping for OT and a potential cover in OT.... only to have the Redskins botch to PAT and the Bucs win by 1.  No Cover.  Exteremely fustrating for bettors. The Redskins are a bad team, but the Bucs got a lot of injuries now and will have trouble covering games the rest of the year.

With gambling gods really against us this week and kicking us with two tragic back-door covers, my Monday night pick of Baltimore -3 had me absolutely messed up.  The Ravens were up the entire game.  Much like the Colts, they were up 21 points at one point, but didn't manage the clock well either down the stretch .  Down 8 with 2 minutes left, the Ravens somehow allowed the Texans to tie this game up with 20 seconds left.   (Note to Ravens: run the ball on 3rd and 2 with 2:50 left and you might not have needed OT!  You run cthe lock at least or maybe pick up the first down!) 

Fortunately the 2-point convert worked for the Texans to get the game into OT.  Matt Shaub then bailed us out and threw a pick-6 for a touchdown to the Ravens.  The dissapointment/shock on the Texans and their fans was obvious, but we were happy.  Preventing a third straight demoralizing back-door cover from almost killing us.  The gambling gods finally took pity after a beat down weekend.

Be thankful for a bit of Monday night magic, regroup and get ready to bring it strong for Week #15.  Lines to be studied tomorrow.  D$ Out.

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