Wednesday, November 30, 2011

Damn Duke and Damn those Hedge Bets

Jumping straight to the end of the story moral and it is STICK TO YOUR GUNS!

As a card carrying tax payer with blood type Tar Heel Blue positive, its in my dna to hate the Puke Poo Devils, but as a college hoop nut, one has to respect Coach Sha-gets-the-most-outta-his-talent-ski! But too much respect was given last night with the +7 point bet of Duke at The Ohio State Buckeyes.

To put it simply, just like a Mr. Big choco bar, when you play that good like Ohio State did, they call you THE!

Jared Sullinger was unstoppable last night. Duke tried an out-of-character 2-3 zone in the end of the 1st half that led to a huge run by the Buckeyes to go into halftime up 19. Then it was off to the races. Ball game!

OSU stamped the second half as a statement game as Coach Thad Motta left the starters in until about 2 min left in the game where Coach K played his bench pretty much for the whole 2nd half.

This also stamped CrazyDavoA's stupid stupid halftime hedge bet of Duke to win the 2nd half by 1.5 points. Ouch!

Stick to your guns Adolph and hate the Poo Devils and make an effing profit!

Everything about last night was uncharacteristic of Duke, especially that 2-3 zone. It was literally 5 pylons standing in the 2-3 formation with zero movement. Ohio State just cut to the free throw circle at will for uncontested 8-10 foot jumpers. My coed basketball team could've broken that zone!

Also, Duke's frontcourt must've stayed back in Durham, because Miles Plumlee was as inspiring as a pregame speech from the Hoodie himself,  Bill Bellichek! Mason Plumlee stamped himself as a useless big bodied Dukie. He is first ballot Useless Slug Hall of Famer with former Dukie, Greg Newton having a statue outside that great hall. Ryan Kelly also came back down to earth too with a performance reminiscent of a Dave Adolph's Mudhen coed basketball league performance.

Austin Rivers remains to be a talent but continues to force shots like a bald headed Kobe Bryant in his rookie season. The remaining guards were no where to be seen.

All in all an uncharacteristic evening leading to an uncharacteristic third person reference of CrazyDavoA in todays blog.

My apologies.

Tuesday, November 29, 2011

Some takes for tonights games

DUKE +7.5 @ OHIO STATE
A true test for both sides. Duke on the points looks like the play based on Duke's tougher sked leading up to tonights game. But OSU's personel advantage with Jared Sullinger who D$'s scouting report has said has slimmed down.

Duke's depth at frontcourt will give Sullinger a tough game. Sr. Fwd Mason Plumlee is an underachieving forward but his size and willing to bang will make Sully earn his hoops. Jr. Fwd Miles Plumlee should drop his 10-12 underwhelming yet efficient points to go with Ryan Kelly's jumpers and 10-14 points.

The match up at guard is intriguing with Soph PG Aaron Craft taking on FR Guard Austin Rivers or converted PG Seth Curry.

The most intriguing one will be OSU's William Buford vs. Duke's Andre Dawkins.

Overall one could convince me to take OSU but alas there's the Coach Krazy-chef-in-your-kitchen-ski factor and this fits Duke's overrated m.o, they'll get big wins and earn a #1 ranking in the nation only to fall unexpectedly to a Virginia type team or Maryland on the road in ACC sked.

This should be a back and forth battle so 7.5 points is a good cushion.

ST. LOUIS -9 @ LOYALA MARYMOUNT

Head Coach Rick Makerus is turning the Bilikens around after a controversy filled season off the court last season. They won an underwhelming tourney at the 76 Classic last week but Majerus' stingy defense should be too much for LMU tonight.

Monday, November 28, 2011

Long Beach State +11 @ Louisville

Trying a new format here with emailing from the ol mobile. That's cell phone for those of you not from England.

We're loving Long Beach State on the road tonight in the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Kentucky. Ever since Louisville moved into the YUM! Center they've received an extra five points on the spread for the name alone! It's just a way to recognize a facility with an actual exclamation mark in the name and it'll (11 herbs and) spice up the spread too. (Hayyyyy ohhhh!)

This is an even match up here due to the personel alone and due to Louisville's current injury status.

From a straight personel status, the LBC State have a six man, sometimes seven man rotation made up of entirely Juniors and Seniors. They are led by ex-Gonzaga head coach Dan Monson who preceded Mark Few. He was obviously another mid major casualty in the major ranks when he parlayed his Elite Eight run with Gonzaga back in the late 90's to a forgettable 5-6 year run in Minnesota. He has landed in the LBC and has used his first 4 years there to mold this lineup into a definite mid major threat.

You can tell that LB State was full of undisciplined pick up players in their freshmen and sophomore seasons, but Monson has used his patience to mold this group's skill into a disciplined and opportunistic bunch.

LB State is led by Sr. G Casper Ware who will get Reggie Miller type screens to hit open treys. But Ware is capable to create his own trey but his strength is in the open court. He will explode into transition and is fearless attacking the hoop. Being under 6-0 feet tall is no hindrance as his explosive jump gives him some airtime to fanagel (or fahnaygel?) the attempted blocks into easy lay ups and and-1's.

I'll pay to watch Ware on his drives from the wing alone. He has such a quick and explosive first step, to go with such long strides that allows him to be as creative as a Bob Ross painting. Ware definitely doesn't make any mistakes but he has happy accidents on his drives to the hole.

Overall, Ware is a patient player on the offensive side with not forcing the shots he takes which for many are the type of shots that could be forced for 20-25 shots per game. Ware is a very under rated defender as an average one-on-one defender but great great ball denyer. He can ice opposing team top scorers from getting the ball before he can averagely close out and defend him.

JUCO transfer, James Ennis is a 6-5 guard with a wing span longer than Paulsen's go-go gadget arms at KFC! NO ONE and I mean no one can crossover Ennis as his long reach will steal it. As the top of LB States 1-2-2 zone, Ennis' reach gets in the passing lanes so much that they might as well be playing a 2-2-2 zone. His steal totals may not reflect it but his reach is something opposing teams will avoid like QB 's avoided Deion Sanders.

Also look for 6-5 small forward Larry Anderson to take smaller checks into the paint for easy mismatch layups.

LB State has a bad half court defense in terms of their footwork in the post matchups and non-chalant close outs on the wings. But their athleticism and effort on defense will lead to the high percentage shots on their lightening quick transition game. Their team First Step into transition is quicker than Adolph walking through the racoon-infested path to his apartment building!

And Louisville is still a good team, but their depth has definitely been challenged with their rash of injuries early in the season. They are playing with Sr PG Peyton Siva who is severely limited on offense but can play serviceable defense on his sprained ankle.

Fwd. Kyle Kuric is holding up the ship with streaky shooting and opportunistic garbage put backs. And Rakeem Buckles is their only threat as a scorer as Louisville's sixth man. He should be hitting the starting line up soon enough with Louisvilles MASH unit they're displaying.

Louisvilles defense will suffocate most of LB State's posessions but the LBC will get their transition opportunities. But Louisvilles lack of size in the paint will only help LB States obvious athleticism advantage. Plus this team doesn't jack the treys like Rick Pitino coached teams usually do, so the weak close-outs shouldn't be a factor.

LB State may even walk away with another BCS upset like they did in Pitt a couple weeks back, but if they don't, the Easycovers Staff loves the 11 point cushion. Long Beach has followed their Pitt game with a loss to Montana of all schools, but tonights game should motivate them to step their game up immediately from tip off.

vs. Pitt, LB State and Ware were unconscious from down down which led to the 10-12 point cushion they held the whole game, and once they cooled off, Pitt's "Grade-8 dance"-like lack of initiative and LB State's transition made it a trading hoops game. Even if LB State and Ware aren't as hot tonight, their consistent strengths should keep the score close towards another trading-hoops affair.

Again loving the 11 point cushion.

Good luck
CrazyDavoA out!

Sunday, November 27, 2011

Butler v Indiana -13


















The previous takes on Indiana and Butler was due to a preview of their matchup tonight at Assembly Hall.

D$ and I are going to take Indiana -13 based on the following match-ups:

1. The Cody Zeller factor for the Hoosiers in the blocks over Butler's Andrew Smith. Smith is all the Butler has in the paint vs. Zeller and the depth at forward with Christian Watford and Will "Don't call me Purdue" Sheehy. Although, the depth of Indiana's forwards should trump Butler's, Indiana should pound the ball to Zeller anyways.

2. The Ronald Nored point guard factor for Butler should be negated by Indiana's depth at point with Jordan Hullis and Verdell Jonee III. Hullis pushes the ball up more agressively than Nored. Plus Hullis and Jones average a combined 6 assists per game. The x-faxtor for the Butler is Senior that has Madness experience, but he is so non-aggressive this year, that if he does decide to get out of his shell, it should be negated by Indiana's depth at guard.

3. Indiana's new aggression on transition gives them an advantage of up to 7 more trips to the charity stripe than their opponent. Butler could try to slow the game down by limiting Indiana's transition game, but the Hoosier defensive pressure in the half-court set and quick outlets should get some easy transition hoops.

The easy hoop factor from the Hoosier transition game and pounding the ball into Zeller should give the Hoosiers a 15-20 point win. there is the Assembly Hall factor, the honeymoon of Indiana's resurgence factor and the Butler's development factor.

The Insanity Report like the Hoosiers -13.

Book it!

Saturday, November 26, 2011

The Skinny on Indiana























INDIANA HOOSIERS

Get ready for the New Hoosier Revolution coming outta Assembly Hall in Bloomington, Indiana! Head Coach, Tom Crean will reap the rewards of the 3 years of rebuilding the Indiana Hoosiers back into a national powerhouse. Not since 2008 with the debacle that Calvin Sampson put Indiana through has the Hoosiers seen such big names in the program as top 10 national recruit, F Cody Zeller.

Before we go on further, it hasn't been since the early 2000's that Indiana has had top recruits enter Bloomington like they do in Lexington, Chapel Hill and Durham year in and year out.

One could make a theory that the success that Purdue and Butler have had in the past decade has been due to Indiana's slow demise since Bobby Knight's departure in 2000, by taking advantage of the high school hotbed of Indiana and taking recruits that in years past would have signed with Indiana.

Back in 2008, Butler freshman, Gordon Hayward was reportedly originally committed to Purdue but eventually chose Butler due to the killer recruits they had in E'Twaun Moore, JuJuan Johnson and Robbie Hummel. There was not enough touches to go around, and hence Gordan went to Gene Hackman Court in Hinkle Fieldhouse leading Butler to their first National Championship title game in 2009.

If this occurred 15 years earlier, Hayward would probably have signed with Purdue, as Moore, Johnson and Hummel would most likely have signed with Indiana. Purdue was Indiana's sloppy seconds over the years, but now with the demise of Indiana, Purdue moved up one spot over Indiana as the top program in Indiana and the Butler took over as the "Sean Avery Sloppy Seconds" program of the state of Indiana.

The re-emergence of Indiana will truly test Butler's place at the table and see if Brad Steven's Bulldogs program can compete on the recruiting trail. Stevens can coach, there's no question, but his commitment to Butler may be short-lived as Tom Crean's signing of Cody Zeller could put an end to Butler's recent recruiting coups.

Forward, Cody Zeller is the real deal. He is composed and intelligent. He has great foot-work in the post and will run the lanes on the fast break for the entire 40 minutes. He is a great focal point for the Hoosiers offence as Crean has the majority of offensive sets go through the Zeller highway toll booth. This is no shock to Indiana's offence as Crean has instilled Coach Norman Dale's "minimum of four passes" philosophy. Right now, it's tough to see any huge weakness in Zeller's game as he is quite composed beyond his years. Despite his maturity, he could get out-muscled in the blocks by a hulking defender, but this will be negated by Zeller beating that defender down the court on the transition. Yeah I'm looking in your direction Jared Sullinger! I can't wait for that match-up.

Crean has used the past 3 years to rebuild the program the right way with heavy loss seasons, but the development of the following players have helped form the surprising depth of the Hoosier roster.

The guards are set with JR. PG Jordan Hullis pushing the ball up constantly as Crean is pushing the transition game this year more than ever. SR. G Verdell Jones III may not take the ball up the court ala Hullis, but his passing within the half court set has him leading the team in dimes (4.6 assists per game) even above Hullis (3.2 assists per game). The Hoosiers as a whole drop assists in the majority of their scores making it tough to defend them in transition or the half court set.

Soph. G Victor Oladipo is playing great from the wing with his athletic drives to the hoop while playing great one-on-one defence vs the opposing teams top scorer usually. He is still an untapped talent, which makes him a scary commodity once he realizes his potential. He can play well away from the ball, making it easy for Hullis to find him on the break as Victor spaces himself well enough to get open looks under the hoop or from the baseline.

The depth at forward centred around Zeller is soldified with Jr. Christian Watford, Soph. Will Sheehy and Jr. Derek Elston. Watford has some wing span to get off any shot within 10-12 feet of the hoop. Will Sheehy is deceptively fast with an Indiana farmboy jumper ala Jimmy "I can make it" Chitwood. In their game vs. Evansville last week, Sheehy dee'd up Evansville's top scorer very effectively giving Oladipo a break from doing the bang up job one-on one that he was doing. Elston is a big body, still pretty raw, but there will be no digression when he's on the floor giving the other forwards a rest. He will offer the necessary spark a 7th-8th man is supposed to.

Indiana has an under-rated pressure defence that fuels their transition game. They force turnovers above the 3 point line giving pick-six-type easy lay-ups. They will struggle at times with their 3's, but they are less reliant this year on the 3 as in the past couple seasons now with Zeller occupying the paint.

The Hoosiers lack overall size, so they will have games where they struggle getting Zeller the ball. But another strength of Zeller's is his free throw shooting, and Indiana's aggressiveness to to the hoop leads to easy hoops and more trips to the charity stripes. Those easy points add up and will negate any size difference the Hoosiers may be susceptible to.

The emergence of UNC and Kentucky as the top teams in the country this season via their track meet fast breaks makes Indiana's emergence even more likely as they do have fire to fight a Tar Heel or Wildcat fire. This will make Indiana's match up vs. the Jared Sullinger led Ohio State Buckeyes on New Year's Eve an event that could rival that of the UFC pay-per-view that night.

It's been a long decade for the Hoosier nation, and this year could be the first time that the Indiana campus in Bloomington indeed, finally party like it's 1999!

The Skinny on the Butler...

BUTLER BULLDOGS

The Butler may not do it in the Madness with the Upset this year, but they will continue to develop this year, and we will see where they're at vs. Indiana tomorrow.

They still have super mid-major coach in Brad Stevens. They have some young talent that overall will be mismatched vs. a "BCS" conference team, but the Steven's defence is solid and their offense is patient. Overall, the Butler Bulldogs are just that, they're a bulldog team that will grind their way to constant improvement throughout this non-conference sked and throughout an improved Horizon Conference sked. As far as the Madness in March? Stay tuned for future Insanity Reports to track their progress.

The Bulldogs are led by SR. PG Ronald Nored. He's starting this season as a distributing guard who is not looking for his shot whatsoever. He's dropping 4-6 dimes per game but he is needed to come out of his shell if the young freshmen and sophomores of Butler are going to develop.

The developing talent includes SOPH. G Chrishawn "Make up your mind, is it Chris or is it Shawn" Hopkins who is capable of 20 point outbursts, but is still young and will have deer-in-the-headlight-itis vs any sort of pressure from a more experienced defender.

SOPH. F Khyle "Don't call me me Minogue" Marshall is a smooth wing who can find the odd drive from the elbow or the wing. Either he can't find his jumper or it's not within the Butler offense, but I haven't seen him utilize it as much as he could.

There is also a smooth wing in FR. Kameron "Don't call me Kirk" Woods. He can turn into a silky smooth scorer later in the year and definitely into his Sophomore and Junior seasons, but he has to gain some much needed l.b's as he will get pushed around in the blocks with those olive oil arms. He's having an alright start to his career with 4 ppg and 4.5 rpg. He will improve these stats once Steven's is more comfortable with upping his minutes.

Closing out the guards is JR. G Chase "Don't call me Milt or Hugo" Stigall who is a chucker. A pure hot and cold chucker from down down. If he gets hot then the Butler will use this to get on a roll, but when he's cold, he will be forcing up shots like Paulsen at last call at the Lamplighter!

The kicker for Butler is JR. C Andrew Smith who is leading the Bulldogs so far at 12 ppg. He is a presence in the pain, but moreso the short corner. He can score and board, but he has a body and game that will get out-muscled by bigger posts such as OSU's Jared Sullinger and Indiana's Cody Zeller.

The Butler is pretty much the Butler, a team that is lacking in UNC/Duke/OSU/etc-like talent but is extremely well coached and after this year's developing season after losing super talents such as Gordan Hayward, Matt Howard and Shelvin Mack, they will develop into a force, but it's up in the air who else will step up off the bench, there is still a freshmen trio in F Roosevelt "E. Roosevelt" Jones, Wing Andy "Light as a " Smeather and G Jackson "Heeeeee Heeeeee" Aldridge that will have a say into where the Butler will be at come the New Year.

Stay tuned!

Thursday, November 24, 2011

The Skinny on Stanford

STANFORD CARDINAL

If they can find the right combo of players within their deep bench, the Cardinal could be offishall if they play around SR Fwd. Josh Owens. He shows a skillset that is very similar to that of Derrick Williams from Arizona last year. Josh has a post game with both his back to the hoop and facing the rim. Although defense is not his strong suit, he positions well while ensuring he won’t get into foul trouble. An underrated strong suit is his passing game with Soph. Fwd Dwight Powell.

Soph. Guard Aaron Bright is a great, great spark plug who can penetrate well and shoot the trey while stopping on a dime. He is a young guard prone to turnovers and will get flustered easily when an opponent’s defensive pressure will take him out of his comfort zone. Add in Freshman talented guard, Chase Randle, and there will still be some growing pains for the Cardinal backcourt.

Sr. Fwd. Andrew Zimmerman is a mountain-man spark plug off the bench with nothing but hustle and energy and a big ol’ urban-omish beard. You’ll see when you see him, it’s very omish yet you can notice the chin strap.

I’d like to see their defense better as they were given gifts from the lackadaisical passing from the Oklahoma State Cowboys on Wednesday at the Pre-Season NIT opener. The Cardinal, especially Owens attacked the passing lanes well, but rather then being great defense, it was more of a great scouting report, so alas I say they might be well coached by Duke-alumnus Johnny Dawkins.

The Cardinal have some talent, and learned some valuable lessons last year as a young team, so the turnovers that will be coming from the Cardinal backcourt may be short-lived. In a wide open Pac-12, this could be a great opportunity for Stanford to take over the Andrew Luck Campus of Palo Alto come the Pac-12 schedule in the New Year.

Wednesday, November 23, 2011

The Skinny on Duke


The hatred for Duke runs free and clear due to the fact that they have a huge sweat factor. The Puke Blue Devils will either cover the spread or lose the spread by 1-3 points. Plus they have many questions to answer such as where Austin Rivers stands in his freshmen season, is Ryan Kelly for real and can Duke play defence?

As a card carrying Tar Heel Honk, it's tough to do this, but much respect must be extended to Coach K for his NCAA Men's Hoops Wins record he achieved with his win vs. the current best coach in college sports, Tom "to the" Izzo and Michigan State.

Coach Sha-chef-ko-whats-going-on-in-the-kitchen-ski gets the absolute most out of his players. Many examples can be made but most recently getting a top recruit in Kyrie Irving last year. However, upon Kyrie's toe injury that took him out for the rest of the regular season after 8 games, Nolan Smith parlayed this opportunity as the new starting PG into a 2011 Outhet Player of the Year Award season. Nolan was a distinct untapped talent that Coach K schemed into using as the new penetrator for the Poo Devils into a 20 ppg guy.

Coach K will have to perform some more miracles with this years team. It looks like he is running a similar offensive and defensive playbook, but as of now Duke doesn't have the horses to repeat any deep run into the Madness.

First off, Freshman G Austin Rivers is a talent. He's getting some great box scores to start his career, but it seems like he is forcing many drives and shots similar to the shots Kyrie took last year. Right now, he seems like a poorman's Kyrie Irving and until Austin can find a niche within the Duke offence, he'll be resorting to forced drives to the hoops and long range jumpers shot out of the rhythm of the offence. He will still find his own game, but it remains to be seen when that will happen.

The Blue Devils came into the season with these questions at guard especially after losing Smith and Irving. So the consensus was that they would need to depend on their forwards, especially Jr. Fwd Miles Plumlee. The issue with Miles is he is still a talent. He can drive to the hoop, hit the odd jumper form the short corner and he can bang on the blocks and score in bunches. But he seems to be the Tony Romo/Mark Fraudchise of the NCAA. He'll perform well in easy situations, but it remains to be seen how he'll react to pressure cooker situations in ACC action or the Madness. Right now, he is a fair weather player. I don't see him as a reliable focal point for the Doo-doo Devils come winning time.

Then there's the other Plumlee brother, SR. Mason Plumlee. He has developed into a huge body but has not fulfilled his potential as he still has awkward one-on-one post moves and lacks full control of his body causing him to get into early foul trouble.

Mason has already been replaced in the starting lineup by Jr. Fwd Ryan Kelly. Last year, Kelly was out of his element in the paint but could shoot the long range jumper. This year he has found some much needed foot speed and has an improved first step for both ends of the court. He's had consistent 15-17 games, using the improved game to go with his proven shooting ability.

The x-factor with Duke is the remaining guards in Jr. guards, Andre Dawkins and Seth Curry. Curry has a lot of pressure on him and he's stepping up as Duke's leading scorer so far at 16 ppg. His strength is his 3-pt shot, but he has worked hard at increasing his point guard responsibilities, and it remains to be seen, like Miles Plumlee, how this new role will fit Curry deep into the gauntlet that is the ACC season and March.

Dawkins seems like this year's Nolan Smith with his untapped talents and patience to unleash his potential once he get more opportunities. He won't be the penetrator to the hoop like Nolan Smith, but moreso a 3-pt assassin.

Finally, as with tonight Maui Invitational clinching 3 point shot, Soph. G Tyler Thornton is a huge spark. He's a limited talent but has the hustle that Coach K can't keep on the bench.

There are some unorthodox parts to the gears that turn Duke, but Coach K will most likely find a way to make the Poo Devils' Top 25 talent into a Top 10 ranked team. But Duke horrible lack of defence upon giving up too many drive-n-dishes almost at will, will ensure an early exit in March with a one and done Madness.

Sunday, November 20, 2011

On a roll.....here's some takes.....











































Get the straight jackets out! My apologies for a lack of takes on games bet on. To start the season the Insanity Report Staff is 8-3 ATS including a 2-0 day today with Kentucky -19.5 vs Penn State today which covered by at least a billon-million points today.....as we say in the blog bizness: EASY COVER!!!!! Also Duquesne covered over Akron by 5 points today when the spread was 3 points. Tight cover, but a cover is a cover......is a cover

So with tomorrow's games we have one game we like:

It's not on the menu as of yet, but on other sites we like:

WASH ST (Pick) vs. PORTLAND
Wazoo is coming into the season losing two players who left to go pro. Klay Thompson parlayed his early entry into the draft with a first round selection into the "nuclear winter" league of the NBA. (Somewhere, Homer Simpson is heard, saying, "It's pronounced, NEEE-YOOK-LEE-ERR.........NEEE-YOOK-LEE-ERR") Either way, he's gone and according to the preview mags and handicappers, Washington State is destined for a massive rebuilding year ......hold up....not so quick.......

The Insanity Staff was scouting Gonzaga/Wazoo and Gonzaga had an easy win vs. the Cougars of Pullman, but Wazoo has a great passing game on the offensive end showing basketball IQ and competent guards and forwards. Their main scoring threat is a smooth shooting SR. G Faisel Aden with a solid frontcourt with SR. POST Charlie Enquist and JR. FWD Brock Motum. Wazoo plays competent defense and the Portland Pilots have lost their top 2 scorers from last year and also had a 30 point drubbing by the hands of UDub.

We like Wazoo to win easy tomorrow!

Bye-bye NBA. Hello the Madness.

Commish A-Dish out!

Sunday, November 13, 2011

Oh Carolina!!!!




















#1 NORTH CAROLINA 67 vs. MICHIGAN STATE 55

Closing Spread: UNC -8.5
Result: UNC -8.5 (Won by 3.5)
Bet: UNC -11 and UNC -9
Result: Won both bets

This was a great event upon the Aircraft Carrier, USS Vinson. A fitting place to launch the USS Tar Heel which left for deployment amongst the NCAA landscape on Friday night showing just how dominant they will be for the upcoming season within the whole nation and ACC.

Here's the skinny on UNC. Once again there's the Super Frontcourt of Soph. Harrison Barnes, Jr. John Henson and Sr. Tyler Zeller. And the run of UNC depends pretty much on the health of Soph. PG Kendall Marshall! If Kendall stays healthy, then UNC will be cutting down the nets in New Orleans! It's as easy and that.

The strengths of UNC? Their frontcourt offers 3 different weapons.

Barnes will take over spurts of every game with a flurry of transition lay-ups and jumpers. Plus, he can hit the odd jumper within the halfcourt set.

Tyler Zeller will use the advantage of the collective wingspan of the forwards to cheat one extra step towards the helpside and draw 2-3 charges a game. Once he gets position and receives a well led entry pass, he'll get many hoops in the blocks.

And Henson? His wingspan led to 9 friggin' blocked shots vs. MSU. He altered twice as many shots with his albatross like twigs. He was his usual self on the boards, but then showed a turn around jumper from the short corner and the wing that may show some foreshadowing towards a Player of the Year (Outhet Award) season if he can consistently make those jumpers for the whole season.

The collective wingspan of the Super Frontcourt makes it difficult for any team to get comfortable shots within 15 feet of the hoop. It pretty much forces a team to HAVE to shoot the lights outta the gym from down town just to have a chance vs. the Tar Heels. This may very well be their greatest strength. This will lead to blocked shots, and many rebounds off altered shots that will lead to their identity, which is the fast break.

A fast break that is led by Kendall Marshall. Marshall's thread-the-needle outlets mine as well be Joe Montana passes to Jerry Rice. Marshall fills in the gaps that will connect the UNC Frontcourt Trio's Trix; He has got to stay healthy! Plus he will compliment Barnes' open J's in the half-court set with timely drives to the hoop.

The weaknesses of UNC?

Their defensive strengths of cheating one step more towards the helpside and altering shots forces the bigs to play straight up in the air and a bit off the rebounding lane to effectively block out on the glass. This led to UNC giving up 19 offensive rebounds to The Brave 300 of the Michigan State Spartans. But this will be remedied by simple hustle and preventing the true weakness of UNC....which is the possibility of UNC defeating UNC.

If they rely purely on their out-of-stratosphere talent, then they will be outworked by one of the many teams out there that are capable of shooting the lights out from 3-point land. This will also land the Tar Heel's into a slowed down half-court game which stalls their strengths and forces them to force jumpers and one-on-one post moves that Zeller and Henson rarely convert. But, Roy will get the fella's hustling. If they maintain an adequate level of hustle, they will be able to force their fast tempo and rhythm that will lead to the Dance in New Orleans in March.

Also, the Tar Heels must develop a threat from downtown to further make opposing defences from clogging the key making things difficult for the Three Tar-Heel-go Frontcourt. Soph. Wing, Reggie Bullock didn't impress too much on the USS Vinson from downtown, but Freshman, G PJ Hairston has come into Chapel Hill as gun slinger from the three-point line.

Finally, the most freaky aspect of UNC is their 2 McDonald All-American freshmen in PJ Hairston and forward, James McAdoo can be phased into the UNC line-up rather then being thrown to the wolves like John Henson and Harrison Barnes were as freshmen. The expectations on Henson and Barnes over the past 2 seasons were unrealistic and added needless stress onto their development. Now that McAdoo and Hairston will be coming off the bench, they will be able to adapt to the rigors of the national spotlight.

This may lead to an aspect even more dangerous for the NCAA landscape, a post-National Championship UNC team with continuity. Uh oh!

Friday, November 11, 2011

First Takes for Tonight's Games

4 Games on the Menu:

North Carolina -9.5 vs. Michigan State

Taking North Carolina hard on this game!!! The Insanity ReportStaff Betting Manifesto has Law #2 stating: "Never Bet against the Izzo!.....you don't have to bet for the Izzo, but NEVER bet against the Izzo!"......until tonight!

Sorry Izzo, I love you, you're the best coach in College Basketball and you get the most out of your players year in and year out. But from a personel point of view, I see this game as a UNC ass whoopin'!

UNC's front court of Tyler Zeller, Harrsion Barnes and John Henson have a combined rebounding stat of 80 rebounds a game. MSU has Draymond Green who is a great great talent at forward, but he's a guard/wing trapped in a forwards body. So once he has his match-up, most likely vs. Tyler Zeller, then Barnes and Henson will go off on the boards.

The x-factor for UNC is PG Kendall Marshall who is a perfect fit for this team as a pass first PG who can mae the odd jumper. Michigan State has underwhelming and under-perfoming talent last year and they bring in little to address that. Other than Valpo transfer, Braydon Wood, there is little talent for the Brave 300 to keep up with juggernaut talent of Carolina tonight,

Liking UNC by 15 tonight

Valparariso -3.5 @ Georgia Southern

Valpo kept up with Arizona a couple nights ago, where Georgia Southern is coming off a 1-17 season last year in their shit conference.

3.5 points is a gift!

Connecticut -23 vs. Columbia

National Champs at home to a shit Ivy Leaguer team? UConn by 35!

Ohio State -27.5 vs. Wright State

Jared Sullinder, William Buford and Aaron Craft vs. a Wright State team that returns no one from a weak roster last year. They have no bigs, so Sullinger goes off tonight!

COLLEGE HOOPS!!! FINALLY


My head is spinning!!! We're going through a great (and as of the past 3 weeks, profitable) NFL Season. The NHL season is up and running (but call me in the New Year, there's still a Stanley Cup hangover). And then there's the NBA lockout....or is it a strike? Doesn't matter, no one cares. That goes to show how much the NBA is a free-falling stock as the media surrounding their Plaxico Burress like mess. Whatever deal gets done, either soon or next summer, both sides have shot themselves in the foot (or thigh)! And then there's the horrible and possible sports landscape changing story over in Penn State!

So lets get right into it......COLLEGE HOOPS!!!!!

No NBA hoops? No problem...there's real basketball goin' on in campuses across the country!

There is not much of a preview this year as the keyword for this year is: TOP HEAVY!

The national rankings are top heavy with UNC at #1 and everyone waaaaaaay behind. Looking at all of the 6 major conferences, they are all top heavy.

The ACC has UNC and Duke and alot of teams with 1st/2nd year coaches, so they're in rebuilding mode. The prognosticators are trying to shove Virginia down our throats, but no....not Virginia. The one thing that scares me for UNC's run is that they will have little competition in the ACC. But watch out for Florida State to continue their defensive style run towards another Sweet 16 run.

The Big 12 has Baylor set at #1 almost by default being the only team returning any experience. KU will have something to say about that, but there's also new coaches in Texas A&M, Missouri, Oklahoma and Texas Tech. Texas lost their whole roster as did K-State. Iowa State will be interesting with a surprisingly good team last year with a lot of new transfers coming in.

The Big East is the Big East and is microcosm of what these eventual super conferences will be like. They will eat up everyone in the conference from the top-down. but there is a tough UConn defending their title with Jeremy Lamb taking the reigns from Kemba. Syracuse, Louisville, Pitt and Marquette lost some bug talent, but have reloaded. Look for rising teams like St John's and Cincinnati to make some noise into the Top 8 of the 16 team conference.

The Big 10 is as top heavy as Kim Kardashian! There's Ohio State with Jared Sullinger, William Buford and Aaron Craft. Wisconsin has Jordan Taylor at PG but lost alot of big men. In a conference where Michigan was an up and comer last year sky rockets to 3rd or 4th in the pre-season previews......yeah that's a conference that's reloading as well. Never and I mean never count out the Izzo in Lansing, Michigan though!

The SEC has Kentucky reloading with a McDonald All-American freshmen crew with Terence Jones coming back to Lexington. Jones has all the potential in the world to dominate the SEC at wing, but he will be tested due to his much needed, but untested leadership required from Coach Calipari.

And the PAC-10? Get a dominant big man someone! The Pac-10 has been on a downward spiral the past couple years but they have some interesting teams with depth in California. Arizona has had 2 games already and can't take care of the ball. But their talent and depth will get into a groove. Zona Head Coach, Sean Miller will make sure of that. I'm not sold on UCLA with them losing 2 guys to the NBA draft from a season last year where they barely escaped the Izzo in the Round of 64 (1st Round) of the Madness.

So there is so much room for the obligatory mid-major conference/team to make a good run. Look for teams in the Colonial Conference with Final 4 darlings VCU and George Mason reloading. There's the Horizon Conference with the Butler.

Never forget the Atlantic 10 conference with Xavier, Temple and a slew of teams that will give many Top 25 teams fits this season pushing the conference RPI through the roof. Also the Conference-USA has more talent then just in Memphis. Marshall and Central Florida have opportunities to make some noise. If UCF does make some noise then look for the media darling stories of His Airness' son, Marcus Jordan at the helm for UCF.

This is the first of many takes to come, so lets see how tonight goes with the first round of games.

CrazyDavo out