Tuesday, December 7, 2010

Back on the ATS Train Tonight....Next Stop: NOT SYRACUSE


K folks, a quick post here. I've tried to maintain being in the basement and scout games before we can lay some serious cheddar down. So far there is some great intel on the UNC's, Georgetown's and USC's of the world, to name a few.

But tonight, CrazyDavo gets back on the ATS Train, and it's heading straight to Penn Station and Madison Square Garden.

I must admit, this bet is personal. This bet is coming straight from the betting gods and it dicates that I take:

(8) MICHIGAN STATE -3.5 vs. (7) SYRACUSE

This is a revenge bet on my part, as Syracuse has burnt me 3 times already this year.

But match-up-wise, this is a great bet to take based on personel rather than CrazyDavo's spitefulness towards Syracuse Head Coach, Jim Boeheim's self-proclaimed over-rated Syracuse team.

Michigan State has the distinct advantage in the guard department with Korie Lucious and Kalin Lucas. Their speed on dribble penetrations and defending will overpower the over-rated and under-achieving Syracuse guards in Scoop Jardine and Brandon Triche.

In the bigs department, MSU have a rare rebounding advantage over the bigs of Syracuse. Madison Square Garden is a perfect venue for MSU's Draymond Green's coming out party tonight. He should command many low post moves for hoops and this should get him to the foul line often. He should also make the Syracuse bigs honest by jacking the trey which he can make regularly. Syracuse main post in Rick Jackson has been under-achieving as well. Also, Syracuse, forward freshman, Fab Melo is a wide body in the blocks with boat loads of potential. But right now he will still be developing, grabbing boards in spurts during the game and no-showing in the other parts of the game.

Syacuse Head Coach, Jim Boeheim called it right in his ESPN preview interview that MSU is a definitive Final 4 favorite. Syracuse on the other is not. They are talented, but in talking to Insanity Report Kitsilano Correspondent, D$ last night, Syracuse did lose alot in forward Wes Johnson, and guard Andy Rautins. Without those 2, they lose command on the blocks from the loss of Wes to the NBA and don't have a consistent guard to take care of the ball like Rautins did last year.

I like this bet very much. 3.5 points should be covered by a Final 4 team in MSU vs. an under-achieving team in the 'Cuse.

Also, I like other games but due to my Basement Proctor of late, I will lay a feeler $5 6-team parlay on:

MSU -3.5 vs. Syracuse
Utah St -13 vs. Long Beach State (Utah St is a tough WAC team, and LBS haven't covered as underdogs)
Kansas -11 vs. Memphis (Kansas is tough as always; The Morris twins are playing great and their seems to be chemistry issues in Memphis regardless of their huge recruiting class)
Old Dominion -7 @ East Carolina (Old D from a tough Atlantic 10 conferance, and East Carolina from a weak Conf-USA conferance)
Purdue -7 @ Valparaiso (Purdue still getting their bearings from losing Robbie Hummel early in the season. This game at Valpo was scheduled to allow a homecoming for Robbie Hummel; Look for Purdue to step their game on the road for their fallen ombre, Hummel)
Sacramento St -18.5 @ Loyola-Marymount (Will Sac State be the "little team that can cover" like last year? They have a juicy spread tonight against a brutal LMU squad)

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