Saturday, December 11, 2010

NFL Week #14 - Countdown to Kickoff

George St. Pierre easily took down Josh Koscheck (as expected) on Saturday and retained his title in front a crazy home crowd at the Bell Centre.

Fans who followed our picks must have felt like Koscheck does now after the Thursday night game.  An absolutely tragic back-door cover by the Titans on the last play of the game.  Bill Simmons had a great take on this game as the Titans were absolutely crazy not to kick a field goal earlier - needing two scores anyways - and try the on-side afterwards to have a chance at winning.  Even a 10 year old playing Madden would know to do this!  Having a touchdown to lose by 2 points on the last play of the game did them absolutely no good.  Brings out the 'Vegas Controlled' conspiracy theories though.

So we will rebound and come back strong this Sunday with our 5 best bets for NFL Week #14:

Oakland @ Jacksonville (-4.0)
The Jaguars have been playing surprisingly good this season - manhandled Tennessee last week running the ball and played strong defense.  Not a good spot for Oakland as they play the early game travelling from the West Coast.  The Jags want to keep there one game lead on the Colts heading to their showdown next week.  The line drops from -6.0 to -4.0 for this tilt  after a Raiders win last week which gives us some value here.   Raiders 17  Jacksonville 27.

Cincinnati (+9.0) @ Pittsburgh
Mostly a gut call here, but the Bengals are due for a unexpected win or at least will lose a divisional match up by less than 10 points.  (A few weeks ago these two teams were only separated by 6.)   Lots of injuries for the Steelers at the moment, so take the points here.   Bengals 17  Steelers 20.

Tampa Bay (-3.0) @ Washington
Again a gut call, but Washington did not put much effort last week into their divisional matchup against the Giants and won't be motivated against the Bucs.   McNabb looks terrible with no weapons around him.  A couple key injuries to the Bucs had me doubting a bit, but they proved this season that they win against the lower level teams and will rally to stay in the playoff hunt.  Riding Jassssh Freeman baby!   Bucs 28  Redskins 20.

Kansas City @ San Diego (-9.5)
Brodie Croyle is the QB for the Chiefs after Matt Cassel had an appendectomy surgery this week.  He is a lifetime 0-9 as a starter.  Enough said.  The Chargers will have revenge on their minds from Week #1 and get it and get back into the playoff hunt.  Chiefs 13  Chargers 38

St. Louis (+9.5) @ New Orleans
Keep riding the Rams who are 9-3 so far this season ATS.  Sam Bradford has this team tied for first in the NFC West and we think they have a solid chance to cover this large spread.  Upset special take the RAMS 31 Saints 30.

$5 Parlay of the week:  JAX -4, CIN +9, CLE +1, GB -7, ATL -7, TB -3, STL +9.5, NE -3, DEN -4, & DAL +4. 
(Bodog wouldn't allow the SD/KC game in any parlays as of 11:00pm on Sat. night otherwise take SD instead of DEN.)

Good Luck this week.

No comments:

Post a Comment