Saturday, September 24, 2011

Countdown to Kickoff - NFL Week #3 (Late games)

Kansas City @ San Diego (-15)
The Chiefs appear to be leading the pack early in the season for the 'Suck for Luck' sweepstakes after getting mauled by the Lions and Bills.  They will be facing an angry and motivated Chargers team.  Huge amount of points to put up for a Norv Turner team, who is a little banged up, but we might just do it since KC is that bad.  (We go against Walterfootball.com who has the Chiefs this week as their lock of the month.)

NY Jets @ Oakland (+3.0)
Bad spot for the Jets who travel across the country to play a decent Raider squad and giving points.  The side to play is the RAIDERS.

Baltimore (-4.5) @ St. Louis
Good News: The Rams could start the season 0-3 and still could very much be only be one game out of first in the NFC West after this week.
Bad News:  The Rams are really banged up right now and Steven Jackson will not be 100%.
Expecting the Ravens to bounce back here after a big let down last week.

Atlanta (+1.0) @ Tampa Bay
Yikes, this game is too close to pick here.  Jaaaaaash Freeman and the Bucs seem to turn it on for the second half roaring back both weeks to cover the second half spreads and last week winning the game outright against the Vikings.  The Falcons got lucky that Michael Vick got knocked out of their game last week and were able to escape with a win.  Atlanta has disappointed from pre-season hype and don't like them a ton on the road.  Best bet here is to wait until the second half - if Tampa is down then bet them hard as they got the Falcons exactly where they want 'em!

Arizona @ Seattle (+3.5)
Wow, Vegas really thinks that Seattle is bad as even with the Qwest (now CenturyLink) home field advantage they are still taking points at home to a questionable Cardinals team.  The Seahawks are pretty crappy and appear to also be 'sucking for luck' right now, but if they are going to win this would be the week as they face Atlanta and the Giants after this which means they could be 0-5 heading to their bye week.  Recommend not betting this game as it might entice you to actually watch it.  Save your eyes and cash for other games.

Green Bay (-4.0) @ Chicago
The Bears were exposed last week vs the Saints and I expect the Packers to bring their 'A' game in this division rivalry as opposed to the 'C' effort they displayed in Carolina last week.  The Bears can't protect Cutler and Green Bay should be able to get in his face all day.  Aaron Rodgers when on can't be stopped and this should lead to victory for the Pack.  Expect the first half to be close and then Green Bay to pull away in second half. Like the UNDER quite a bit in this matchup too.

Pittsburgh (-11.0) @ Indianapolis
Peyton Manning is starting for the Colts.... just kidding!  For all the Colts fans out there you are officially the other team which is 'sucking for luck' right now.  (Circle Week #5 - Oct 9th - on your calendar for the "Suck for Luck Bowl" vs the Chiefs.)  An excellent plan to take this year off and find an heir for PM, as they clearly won't be winning many games without him.  The Colts will show a lot of pride, but are no match for the Steelers in this contest.  Don't over think this one.

Washington (+4.0) @ Dallas
Even if Romo was healthy and not suffering from broken ribs last week, and even if Miles Austin was in the lineup, and even if Felix Jones and Des Bryant weren't banged up we would still like the Redskins this week.
Because of all this, we like them even more.

We know that Rex Grossman is not real sexy, but the Redskins D is legit and as long as Rex doesn't turn the ball over the Redskins should have a good shot to win outright here.  Hard to believe this team has a shot of being 3-0 out of the gate, pre-season take was dead wrong on this squad.  (Harder games to come for the Redskins who may be a fade in the second half of the season with a treacherous schedule.)

Good luck to everyone this week... best bets to come before kickoff via Twitter @easycovers

D$ OUT

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