Week 4 Morning Takes

It's been a while for posts by CrazyDavo, so lets get back at it with a quick overview of the morning games:

DET 34 @ DAL 30

CLOSING LINE: DAL -1

RESULT: DET +1

Easycovers Bet: DET +1 (Won)

Two things:

1.) Romo went Romo with his 2nd half meltdown today. As a neutral fan for Romo and the 'Boys, I just feel sorry for Cowboys fan who stays faithful to their Cowboys loyalties. Romo will win games for Dallas. He'll chalk up tonnes of fantasy points for Fantasy League honks. But, IT IS A GIVEN that Romo will implode and single handedly cost the Cowboys the game. You can't predict when it'll happen, you just know it's inevitable. Sucks being you Cowboys fan

2.) MEGATRON is taking over the NFL! His large hands are just one decepticon weapon for Calvin Johnson. His routes are precise which hides the subtle throwing mistakes of Matthew "Starscream" Stafford! Megatron will always keep Starscream in check!

Keep riding the Lions ATS, and if they're down, then lay some serious cheddar on 2nd half bets! Staying away from the Cowboys, because now it's an absolute coin flip on how Romo will respond, especially in 2 weeks after their bye weekend at New England who may be smelling blood.

BUF 20 @ CIN 23

CLOSING LINE: BUF -1

RESULT: CIN +3

Easycovers Bet: BUF -1 (Loss)

The man-crush on Bills QB, Ryan Fitzpatrick is still on. Fear the Beard! He didn't march the Bills in their last drive to even attempt a FG late in the 4th. And the Bills defense showed many chinks in their armour. Credit to the Bengals, they out-"gamered" the reigning Gamers of the NFL in B-Lo today. Should've seen this coming. As much as it's great to see a hard-working team like the Bills at 3-1, it was quite inconceivable to see them at 4-0.

But keep riding the Bills as they will win you more games then they'll lose. That'll garner some profits.

CAR 29 @ CHI 34

CLOSING SPREAD: CHI -7

RESULT: CAR +7

Easycovers Bet: Stayed Away

Great stay away game. Cam Newton is solidfying his NFL debut season as a definite ATS cover-er! His stats don't lie and the 4 weeks of backdoor covers will be quite interesting at home to Nawlins next week. And today's Devin Hester punt return TD solidifies Da Bears as a stay away team. Hester is Romo-esque in that you know he'll get his special teams touch downs, but the timing is always unpredictable. That, to go with Cutler being Cutler screams STAY AWAY from Daaaa Bears!!!

NO 23 @ JAX 10

CLOSING SPREAD: NO -8

RESULT: NO -8

Easycovers Bet: Stayed away.

This game was nullified with D$'s hunch in Nawlins to cover vs. the offensively woeful Jags. But I don't trust the Saints on the road, which might influence next weeks NO @ CAR bet. But the Saints are a quiet ATS covering team and are quietely 3-1. They're next 5 games involve a home-n-home with Jaaaaaash Freeeeeman and the Bucs, so we should get a great take on both teams by then. For now, riding the Saints should garner profits.

SF 24 @ PHI 23

CLOSING SPREAD: PHI -10

RESULT: SF +10

Easycovers Bet: Stayed Away

Let's re-iterate one thing from the pre-season takes: PHILLY IS NOT A SUPERBOWL FAVORITE! The pre-season hype was just due to the fact that they had the loudest pre-season transactions for a fanbase and media starving for NFL news other then the NFL lockout in the summer. This exploded the Eagles as the sexy pick.

But, they're hype is squashed almost as much Sidney Crosby's noodle. This is due to 3 things:

1.) The Eagles Offensive Line CAN NOT be trusted. They give no time for Vick to work in the pocket. Which is ironic since he is actually an improved pocket QB. The glass-jawed Philly O-Line allows for no running game and hence no deep ball threats for the DeSean Jackson, despite a 61 yard reception today.

2.) The health of Michael Vick CAN NOT be trusted. He was knocked out of Week 2 @ ATL with a concussion. Last week he was knocked out with a suspected hand fracture. This week Vick was limping noticeably all game. This is to due with Vick's playing style and his non-existent O-Line. As Chuck D said in 1991, Can't Truss it!!!!

3.) Eagles WR Jeremy Maclin IS A BONAFIDE ATS KILLER with the untimliest turnovers highlighted by his forced fumble due to his tucking the football like a friggin bread basket! A couple weeks back he made an unforgiveable drop on 4th down in their last drive at ATL. Chuck D can't truss Maclin either!