Countdown to Kickoff - NFL Week #3

Here is D$'s best bets and analysis of the line moves heading into kickoff:

EARLY GAMES
Bengals -3. Bad weather in Carolina should keep this close, so shop around on best line as Bodog is at 3.5 at time of blog post. The under 38 is worth a deeper look because as both teams will need to rely on run games more.

NE -14. If you can get this price, I like them to cover as said ealier in week.

Under 37 for Browns @ Ravens.

49ers -3. A risky pick after the Monday Night game - and many sportbooks are offering reduced juice to back them, refusing to budge the line from -3. I am hanging on to the belief that the Chiefs aren't a very good team (despite their 2-0 record) and they will show their true colours this week.

LATE GAMES
Colts -6. Totally agree with JDawg. Bet this before line moves to -7. ( Moreno out plus Champ Bailey and other stud Brocs corner is injured.)

Under 39.5 in Raiders @ Cardinals.


STAY AWAY - NO VALUE GAMES
Atlanta @ New Orleans (-3.5). Line has moved a full point towards the dirty birds, but not enough value on either side to make this a worthwhile play. Enjoy as fan and take notes for future weeks.

Pit -3 @ Tampa Bay. This should be a low scoring, ugly game and you may need every point you can get if taking a side here. i.e. seems like you might be sweating right until the final whistle. Under 33 is too few points and too scary so staying away from both.

Good Luck and Enjoy the Games!!