Week 10 - Thursday Night Football

The axe mercifully fell on Wade Phillips today after the Sunday Night massacre on NBC.  The Cowboys players completely quit on this guy and this step had to happen.  Will be interesting to see who steps in to replacement him in the long run.

Wade will be fine as he gets paid millions of dollars regardless, so don't feel too sorry for him.  Instead focus your energy on bringing it strong with research on the Week #10 NFL Lines!

Some Early Best Bets for this week that are jumping out at me:

Cincinnati @ Indianapolis (-7)
The Colts don't lose two game in a row and will be hungry against a demoralized Bengals squad.  Keep betting against Carson Palmer and the Deva wide receivers any chance you can get.  Grab this line before it jumps up past a key number.  Watch for this line to move to 8.5 or 10 before the end of the week.   Bengals 21  Colts 31

Minnesota (-1) @ Chicago
Possible lock of the week.  The Bears are bad and got lucky they faced a Bills squad with no pass rush to disrupt Culter.  Even with a perfect no turnover game, they still almost lost to an 0-8 team!!!  The Vikings have a much better defense who will be motivated to take down Culter at ever opportunity possible.  I see a lot of interceptions, sacks, fumbles, and a dejected looking Culter walking off the field.   AP and the offense should be able to outscore these guys even in Chicago.  Vikings 24  Bears 7

Carolina @ Tampa Bay (-8)
This is a lock of the week.  These teams played a few weeks ago and the Bucs won by 13 on the road.  The Bucs are getting better and the Panthers are missing their entire running game to injury and can't figure out which train wreck QB will be starting for them.  Doesn't matter they both stink.   This team is dead last in a lot of stats, including points scored! This smells like the Green Bay Dallas game on Sunday.   Kitties 3, Buc 38

St. Louis (+6) @ San Francisco
The only question here is whether you think you can take the Rams +6 or go balls out with them on the money line.  San Fran should not be favoured against anyone, especially against a 4-4 team who has a competent QB, a solid run game, a decent defense, and who doesn't turn the ball over.   (Rams are +3 in turnover differential and by the way the 49ers are -4 in that category.)  This is a new Rams team here folks, forget about the 2009 edition, and they could actually win the NFC West at 8-8.  The Rams have had two weeks to plan for QB Troy Smith and will scheme up their D accordingly.  If you haven't figured it out yet - I kinda like the Rams here and want to take advantage of short memories everyone got and the fact that the 49ers have been terrible for 7 of the first 8 weeks of 2010.   Take the points, RAMS 20, 49ers 17.

Seattle @ Arizona (-3)
The Cardinals will be a motivated team.  One to avenge two tough losses against the Bucs and the Vikings the past two weeks.  Second, the Cards are looking to get revenge after losing their earlier tilt against Seattle back in Week 7.  In general Arizona plays better at home than on the road.  Watch the injury report on this game to see if Hasslebeck is out again (as their backup QB is not good) and their stud OT Okung remains out too.  Arizona will be better if Beanie Wells is healthy enough to play, but regardless like them to win at home.  Seahawks 13  Cardinals 24


Now for some alternatives if Indy game goes above -7.....

Tennessee (-1) @ Miami
Just like Bill Simmons, I am done with Miami. They are an average team that simply can't beat the good teams in this league. The Titans appear to be a good team, now with an interesting dynamic of adding Randy Moss to the mix. The Titans are rested off the bye and Miami hasn't won yet at home. Titans 31 Fish 20

Detroit (+2.5) @ Buffalo
The Bills have loss three straight games by 3 points and are now 0-8 on the season.  The Lions should help them become 0-9 as they will want to make up for a poor finish.  Watch the injury report closely on this one to determine who will be the starting QB for this one.  Like the Leos, but if Shaun Hill or Stafford can't go, then might be a stay away game.   Lions 20  Bills 17

Dallas @ NY Giants (-14)
Not much to be said here.  The Cowboys are in shambles and they get to play a top team in the NFC who will be watching tons of Green Bay tape on how to dismantle the Cowboys offensive line.  Cowboys 21 Giants 44


More takes coming as the week rolls along.  Might be staying away from any big plays on Thursday night as both teams are good and Atlanta had to expel a lot energy to beat the Bucs this past week.  Leaning Atlanta if had to choose, but as you can tell there are lots of better betting options out there this week.