Saturday, November 6, 2010

Countdown to Kickoff - NFL Week #9

#3 TCU clearly made a statement on Saturday with a beat down of #5 Utah.  The top 4 in the BCS standings will remain unchanged and Boise State is probably going to need a loss from the top three if it hopes to make it to the BCS title game in early January.

And a big congrats to Joe-Pa, who won his 400th Career game.  Down 21 at the half, the Nittany Lions scored 35 straight for the comeback win.  Seeing old man Joe Paterno lifted onto the shoulders of his players at the end of game was a good moment in sports - another for the legendary coach.

NFL Week #9 has some tough spreads and some deeper examination is needed to pick our best bets.  (Which we will post before kickoff on Sunday)

Chicago @ Buffalo (+3)  - game played in Toronto
The Bills are coming off back to back OT losses against playoff level competition and the Bears are a mess after losing three of their past four heading into their bye week.  The Bears can't keep Culter upright which is causing him to make poor decisions with the ball.  The Bills don't have much talent, but have been playing hard.  This is one of the few games the Bills have a chance to win this season so it will be interesting if they can find the energy after two tough losses.  Don't think we can put our money down on a 0-7 team, but have a slight leaning on them winning their first of the season.  Bears 13  Bills 16

New Orleans (-7) @ Carolina
The Saints have been playing better the past few weeks, but still don't have a run game with Pierre Thomas and Reggie Bush injured.  Carolina is probably the worst team in the league and will be missing DeAngelo Williams.  These two teams played a close game a few weeks ago in the Superdome, but we see the Saints playing better now and should be able to cover a touchdown - especially against a team that has trouble scoring points  (Dead last in the NFL).  Saints 24  Panthers 13

Arizona (-8) @ Minnesota
Can we trust a Vikings squad to cover more than a touchdown?  So much drama and injuries for this pre-maddonna team.  The Vikes lost an emotional game last week against the Pats and have two big games coming up after this 'easy' one against the Cardinals.  The Cardinals will be hungry after getting beat last week.  We can't trust either team too much, but leaning on a Cardinal cover.  Arizona 20  Minnesota 24.

Tampa Bay @ Atlanta (-8)
The Falcons have been dominate at home over the past two years and are a tempting favourite.  Tampa Bay does have have 5 wins, but they are against : Cleveland, Carolina, Cinncinati, St. Louis & Arizona.  None of these teams are very good.  Their two losses are against Pittsburgh & New Orleans by a combined 69-19.   We see Atlanta being a solid team that should win easily, but a bit scared that -8 is a lot of points which may allow for a back-door cover.  Bucs 13, Falcons 31

San Diego (-3) @ Houston
Andre Johnson is not 100% healthy and Matt Shaub is not the same QB because of it.  The Chargers are the better squad who have had some bad luck in previous weeks.  Houston has to outscore their opponent to beat them and we can't see them doing that this week.  We would like the Chargers even more if Antonio Gates was healthy, but the Bolts should start November with two straight victories and get back into the playoff race.  Chargers 35  Houston 28

Miami (+5) @ Baltimore
The Fish are a perfect 4-0 on the road and are playing an over-rated Ravens squad who is coming off a bye week.  The fish have only lost to solid teams  (Pittsburgh, New England, & the Jets), and should give the Ravens a run on Sunday.  We like the dog here.  Dolphins 20  Batimore 23

New York Jets @ Detriot (+4.5)
The Lions are 6-1 ATS this season and we gotta keep riding them until this trend stops.  The Lions have an under-rated D-Line lead by Rookie of the Year candidate Chaos N. Suh.  Don't like teams coming off a loss then going on the road and expected to win by a touchdown.  Jets 17  Lions 20

New England (-5) @ Cleveland
The Browns have been scrappy this season, but there is some bad blood with Coach Hoodie not being a fan of Coach Mangenius.  If the Pats have the opportunity, they are going to pile it on the Browns in this matchup.  The Browns are starting Colt McCoy who hasn't been spectacular and will need to be if they want to keep up with the high scoring Pats.  Pats 35  Browns 17

NY Giants @ Seattle  (+7)
Seattle stud 1st round draft pick Russell Okung is out again this week and so is former Pro-Bowl QB Matt Hasslebeck.  The Giants were playing really well heading into their bye week and are clearly the better team here.  The Qwest home field advantage and a motivated Seahawks squad are factors to consider before laying any cheese on this one.  Giants 23  Seahawks 20

Kansas City (+1) @ Oakland
Who would have thought this might be might be the game of the week with both teams playing well this season.  The Raiders are playing with confidence and it may be tough to back the Chiefs on the road here, but star corner Nnamdi Asomugha is out and the chiefs should be able to run on the 31st ranked run defense if this game is close in the second half.  Chiefs 23 Raiders 20.

Indianapolis (+3) @ Philladelphia
The Colts should not be getting points from anyone.  We like them to win straight up.  Colts 28 Eagles 20.

Dallas @ Green Bay (-7.5)
Hard to imagine the 1-6 Cowboys keeping this game close against the Packers.  The weakness of the Packers is their run defense, but that is also the weakness of the Cowboys who are second last in the league in rushing yards.  Cowboys 21  Packers 34

Pittsburgh (-4) @ Cinncinati
The Bengals deva wide receivers will love the spotlight on Monday night football, but this team is no match for the powerhouse steelers.  Steeler 23  Bengals 9

Check back for Best Bets before kickoff.

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