Friday, November 26, 2010

Back at it.......some picks and pointers: KEEP THE GAMBLING "BEER GOGGLES" AT HOME!!!!!!!!


Gotta hit work soon so some quick pointers before we get to some juicy spreads, otherwise known as (shameless plugs) EASY COVERS!!!!

QUICK BETTING POINTERS!!!

Before we hit this, these points are those Captian Obvious takes. I say this to J-Dawg, D$ or Paulsen, and they slap me, saying, "No sh*# Adolph!!!!!!!". As obvious and cliche as these pointers are, they must be said, as these are in the back of all our betting minds. The kicker is to not let these be overtaken by betting for the sake of action. Leave that for the College Height Pub or the Lamplighter will you fellas!!!!!!

#1 Discipline!!!!
The reason for the recent hot streak for CrazyDavo's profitable college basketball picks has been choosing a spread where the team you pick will (shameless plug) EASILY COVER. For instance, picking a favorite that is given only single digits to cover where you are certain that the game will end up as a double digit cover. Let's keep it real here folks, we are gambling, so there still is a chance the handicappers may have the correct spread, but based on good intel and scouting, those juicy spreads will definitely be a lay-up bet with, odds are, an EASY COVER result!!!

#2 Stick to your hunches!!!!
I did the math on my last second bets and I am literally 90% wrong on those bets. Stick to your hunches, and bet them. Those last second bets for action will only give you ugly action. It's 100% "beer goggles" for gambling. When you wake up with that bet after the game is finished and you begin your recovery from the last second betting hangover, you will scream and run away due to that Ugly Betty-Bet!!!!!!! Run!!!! Forget your sketchers at the scene, and just ruuunnnnnnn Forest, run!!!!!!!!!!!




Oh and if you're thinking about making an opposite bet from your last second bet, by choosing the opposite?......well during those last second bets you've already thought of betting back and forth that there is no opposite-"Costanza bet" since you've gone back and forth many times, and your bets goes from a logical, rational bet to a 50-50 coin flip. That coin flip may be a rush due to the gamble-gamble action, but that rush will include seeing your balance erode like an Adolph-hairline!!!!

So off to the bets:

SYRACUSE -6.5 vs. MICHIGAN (Neutral court location)

In Syracuse's last game, Jim Boeheim called this team, his 'most-over-rated team' ever. Ouch Jim! Tell us how you really feal. They may be over-rated. They are 1-3 ATS, but they still have solid guards in Scopp Jardine, Brandon Triche and Kris Joseph. Their forwards are typical long-reached posts that can grab boards and take up space in the Boeheim 2-3 zone in Rick Jackson, and 5-star recruit, Fab Melo.

Michigan on the other hand, has NOOOOOOO-body!!!!!!! Over half their scoring came from departed guard and forward, Manny Harris and DeShawn Sims who have since either graduated or declared for the draft and.....didn't get drafted. Oops. Either way, the returning players for Michigan are the un-Fab 5!!! Coach, John Beilein did nothing to restock his roster and the returning players are very low-rated players!!! They're going to rely on players that scored from 4-6 points per game last year. These are players that accustomed their entire game on getting Harris and Sims the ball. And now their needed to make plays!?!?!? Won't happen.

Syracuse may be an under-rated team, but Michigan is a no-rated team and are destined for dead last in the Big Ten Conferance this year. Syracuse should get an EASY COVER tonight vs. Michigan.

PURDUE -13 vs. SOUTHERN ILLINOIS (Neutral court location)

Purdue has lost Robbie Hummel due to his 2nd ACL tear. That is not news to anyone, and neither has Purdue's reaction by rolling over their pre-season opponents. E-Twaun Moore and JAJuan Johnson have responded by taking the Purdue-bull by the horns and picking their games up.

The Saluki's of So.Ill are eons away from their Sweet 16 days. They have a new roster again this year and Purdue should easily cover the 13 points over the Saluki squad of JUCO's

One feeler pick if you choose to play:

DETROIT -15 vs. ALBANY
Detroit has McDonald AllAmerican, Ray McCallum and a killer forward Eli Holman. Ray McCallum will be a semi-replacement surprise coming out of the Horizon Conferance ala Gordan Hayward from the Butler last year. The Horizon Conferance will be the the 7th major conferance this year due to the Butler's, Detroit's and Wright States. Detroit is a bit undervalued, as Albany is Albany and are coming off their worst season this decade. An Albany team coming off their worst season should not be a 15 point dog, but rather a 25 point dog. I like Detroit.

Good luck, stick to your hunches and stay disciplined. No "Gambling-beer goggles"!!!!!! Don't go Method Man, when (as he says) you can't get yourself a 10, the least you can do is get five 2's. No Method Man!!!! Not with the betting, sorry brah!!!

CrazyDavo out!!!!

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