Alright we got the season off to a good start on Thursday night with 2 winner. Here are our Saturday college football picks for week 1:
Northwestern -5 @ Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt is coming off a 2-10 season and have had plenty of problems in fall camp with Coach Bobby Johnson leaving. It doesn't help they only return 1 linemen on each side of the ball. Northwestern is a well tested road team who have covered 8 of their last 9 road games. Wildcats should dominate 34-15.
Purdue +11 @ Notre Dame
High expectations for new Irish coach Brian Kelly. Domers offense should remain solid despite the loss of Jimmy Clause, however their defense remains a huge question mark. The number here seems to indicate the public is buying into the hype at South Bend, not us we like the Boiler Makers to cove this one. Notre Dame 24 Purdue 20.
Tulsa -8.5 @ East Carolina
The Pirates have lost the most starters of any team in the nation and their head coach Skip Holtz. Tulsa struggled last season but we expect their offense to return to previous form in this game and dominate a very young and inexperienced team 42 - 17.
Oklahoma State -16 vs Washington State.
This is simple we don't think the Cowboys are as good as they have been in the past, but simply put the Washington State Cougers are one of if not the worst team in the FBS. Another blow out to add to their sad sack resume 47 - 10.
Dog of the Week - Washington Huskies +5 @ BYU
Our dog of the week this week is the Dawgs from Washington. 10 returning starters on offense head into Provo to take on BYU. The Cougers have lost a number of starters including their top QB and RB. The Huskies go on the road and start their road back to respectability with a 27 - 20 win.
Good luck and next we add the NFL to our picks of the week!
Saturday, September 4, 2010
Thursday, September 2, 2010
Well we have waited 8 months for tonight, the return of college football! On Friday I will come out with my best bets and dog of the week picks for the weekend, but to wet the apatite here are a couple of recommendations for Thursday nights games:
The Minnesota @ Middle Tennessee State game has shifted 7 points since the suspension of Middle Tennessee's QB Dwight Dasher who was the 7th in the nation in total offense last season. You might remember him last running rough shot over the Southern Miss D in the New Orleans Bowl.
We think the odds makers had this wrong to begin with when they installed Middle Tennessee as a favorite. Minnesota is on a 10 -2 ATS run in their last 12 openers while Middle Tennessee is a dreadful 3-11 ATS in their openers since 1996.
Take the Golden Gophers -3
Northern Illinois travels to Ames to take on the Iowa State Cyclones. Iowa State has a veteran offense led by running back Alex Robinson (1194 YR in 2009) and Quarterback Austen Arnaud. Northern Illinois will contend for MAC title this year but the last time we saw them in the now defunct International Bowl they were dominated by South Flordia 27 - 3.
We have a fairly small number here and suspect that Iowa State will take care business at home.
Take the Cyclones -5
Check back Friday night for our Best Bets and Dog of the week. You can also follow us on twitter @jdawgsbestbets.
The Minnesota @ Middle Tennessee State game has shifted 7 points since the suspension of Middle Tennessee's QB Dwight Dasher who was the 7th in the nation in total offense last season. You might remember him last running rough shot over the Southern Miss D in the New Orleans Bowl.
We think the odds makers had this wrong to begin with when they installed Middle Tennessee as a favorite. Minnesota is on a 10 -2 ATS run in their last 12 openers while Middle Tennessee is a dreadful 3-11 ATS in their openers since 1996.
Take the Golden Gophers -3
Northern Illinois travels to Ames to take on the Iowa State Cyclones. Iowa State has a veteran offense led by running back Alex Robinson (1194 YR in 2009) and Quarterback Austen Arnaud. Northern Illinois will contend for MAC title this year but the last time we saw them in the now defunct International Bowl they were dominated by South Flordia 27 - 3.
We have a fairly small number here and suspect that Iowa State will take care business at home.
Take the Cyclones -5
Check back Friday night for our Best Bets and Dog of the week. You can also follow us on twitter @jdawgsbestbets.
Wednesday, September 1, 2010
D$'s NFL Season Win Totals
Listening to the B.S. report and reading Chad Millman articles has D$ diving into a new topic - NFL Season Win Totals. The Vegas sharps put up totals in April and here are 5 teams that stuck out at me:
Bills : 5 Wins
This has to be easily one of the worst teams in the NFL this year. Even if you believe the C.J. Spiller hype, this team has maybe the worst offensive line in football, no quarterback, and play in the the AFC East which has potentially three playoff teams. A quick check of their schedule shows road games against the Packers, Vikings, Raven, and the Bengals - hard to imagine them winning any of those games or finishing better than 1-5 in their division. At best, they win 6 games, but more likely 4 or less. Bills fans should watch lots of Washington Huskies games this year to get a preview at their future QB - Jake Locker - who they will be taking with the first overall pick in the 2011 draft. Take the UNDER 5 wins (-120) .
Arizona : 7.5 Wins
Curt Warner retires and already the team has shown that they have no confidence that Matt Leinart can win any games for them in the pre-season. The Derek Anderson era is now upon us in Arizona. The NFC West is probably the weakest division in all of football, but winning eight games seems like a big stretch to me. Take the UNDER 7.5 wins (-105)
Tampa : 5.5 Wins
Youngest team in football. Maybe 3 players on the roster over the age of 30. They won three games last year. Do you really think that one draft is going to allow them to double their win total in 2010? I like their QB Freeman, but he got banged up in the pre-season, and this team is at least a year or two away from respectability. GIve me the UNDER 5.5 (+105)
Philladelphia : 8.5 Wins
Count me as another person who believes in Kevin Kolb and the Eagles offense. Kolb has some great weapons to throw the ball to and LeSean McCoy is decent running back. The NFC East is shaping up to be pretty tight division - but this really feels like a 9-7 or 10-6 team. Give me the OVER 8.5 Wins (+115)
Jets : 9.5 Wins
I am not believing the hype with this team at all. They have a very good defense that will keep them in a lot of games, but I don't like their QB at all. This team got lucky and barely squeaked into the playoffs last year because Peyton Manning and the Colts decided not to play the last two games of the regular season last year. If Revis holds out for any length of time coupled with injuries to Calvin Pace at LB, and depending on LT for production - this team looks more like 8-8 to me than 10-6. Give me the UNDER 9.5 Wins (-110)
Random Thoughts:
The NFC North has some interesting picks. Green Bay OVER 9.5 Wins looks mighty nice but the odds are now -190. Not much value there. Same goes with Minnesota UNDER 9.5 with odds at -160.
One last team to keep an eye on is the Cowboys who statistically have the toughest schedule in the league this year. With a few injuries in the pre-season to their O-line, it seems like it will be a big stretch for them to get to 11 wins. The UNDER 10 Wins at EVEN money is worth a deeper look.
Bills : 5 Wins
This has to be easily one of the worst teams in the NFL this year. Even if you believe the C.J. Spiller hype, this team has maybe the worst offensive line in football, no quarterback, and play in the the AFC East which has potentially three playoff teams. A quick check of their schedule shows road games against the Packers, Vikings, Raven, and the Bengals - hard to imagine them winning any of those games or finishing better than 1-5 in their division. At best, they win 6 games, but more likely 4 or less. Bills fans should watch lots of Washington Huskies games this year to get a preview at their future QB - Jake Locker - who they will be taking with the first overall pick in the 2011 draft. Take the UNDER 5 wins (-120) .
Arizona : 7.5 Wins
Curt Warner retires and already the team has shown that they have no confidence that Matt Leinart can win any games for them in the pre-season. The Derek Anderson era is now upon us in Arizona. The NFC West is probably the weakest division in all of football, but winning eight games seems like a big stretch to me. Take the UNDER 7.5 wins (-105)
Tampa : 5.5 Wins
Youngest team in football. Maybe 3 players on the roster over the age of 30. They won three games last year. Do you really think that one draft is going to allow them to double their win total in 2010? I like their QB Freeman, but he got banged up in the pre-season, and this team is at least a year or two away from respectability. GIve me the UNDER 5.5 (+105)
Philladelphia : 8.5 Wins
Count me as another person who believes in Kevin Kolb and the Eagles offense. Kolb has some great weapons to throw the ball to and LeSean McCoy is decent running back. The NFC East is shaping up to be pretty tight division - but this really feels like a 9-7 or 10-6 team. Give me the OVER 8.5 Wins (+115)
Jets : 9.5 Wins
I am not believing the hype with this team at all. They have a very good defense that will keep them in a lot of games, but I don't like their QB at all. This team got lucky and barely squeaked into the playoffs last year because Peyton Manning and the Colts decided not to play the last two games of the regular season last year. If Revis holds out for any length of time coupled with injuries to Calvin Pace at LB, and depending on LT for production - this team looks more like 8-8 to me than 10-6. Give me the UNDER 9.5 Wins (-110)
Random Thoughts:
The NFC North has some interesting picks. Green Bay OVER 9.5 Wins looks mighty nice but the odds are now -190. Not much value there. Same goes with Minnesota UNDER 9.5 with odds at -160.
One last team to keep an eye on is the Cowboys who statistically have the toughest schedule in the league this year. With a few injuries in the pre-season to their O-line, it seems like it will be a big stretch for them to get to 11 wins. The UNDER 10 Wins at EVEN money is worth a deeper look.
Tuesday, August 31, 2010
Sportsnet Pigskin Pick'em for 2010 Now Up!
Free Game Offered by Sportsnet to test your picking skills against the spread!
Monday, August 30, 2010
NFL Week #1 - Opening Lines
Football season is finally back. Here is a quick look at the opening lines for NFL Week #1:
Saturday, January 30, 2010
Wednesday, January 6, 2010
Pigskin Pick'em Playoff Edition on Sportsnet Now
Sunday, January 3, 2010
NFL Week 17 - The Regular Season Finale
All Games Played Sunday January 3rd.
Early Games (1:00pm EST)
BILLS (-8.0) over Colts (WIN)
PANTHERS (-9.0) over Saints (WIN)
BROWNS (-2.0) over Jaquars (WIN)
Bears (-3.0) over Lions (WIN)
HOUSTON (-7.0) over Patriots (PUSH)
Steelers (+3.0) over DOLPHINS (WIN)
VIKINGS (-8.0) over Giants (WIN)
Niners (-8.0) over RAMS (WIN)
Falcons (-2.0) over BUCS (WIN)
Late Games (4:15pm EST)
Eagles (+3.0) over COWBOYS (Loss)
CARDINALS (-3.0) over Packers (Loss)
Chiefs (+14.0) over Broncos (WIN)
Ravens (-10.0) over RAIDERS (Loss)
CHARGERS (-3.5) over Redskins (Loss)
Titans (-6.0) over SEAHAWKS (Loss)
Sunday Night Finale (8:25pm EST)
JETS (-10.0) over Bengals (WIN)
Records NFL Week #17 ATS : 10-5-1
Record for the 2009 Regular Season: 129-121-6 = 51.6%
Early Games (1:00pm EST)
BILLS (-8.0) over Colts (WIN)
PANTHERS (-9.0) over Saints (WIN)
BROWNS (-2.0) over Jaquars (WIN)
Bears (-3.0) over Lions (WIN)
HOUSTON (-7.0) over Patriots (PUSH)
Steelers (+3.0) over DOLPHINS (WIN)
VIKINGS (-8.0) over Giants (WIN)
Niners (-8.0) over RAMS (WIN)
Falcons (-2.0) over BUCS (WIN)
Late Games (4:15pm EST)
Eagles (+3.0) over COWBOYS (Loss)
CARDINALS (-3.0) over Packers (Loss)
Chiefs (+14.0) over Broncos (WIN)
Ravens (-10.0) over RAIDERS (Loss)
CHARGERS (-3.5) over Redskins (Loss)
Titans (-6.0) over SEAHAWKS (Loss)
Sunday Night Finale (8:25pm EST)
JETS (-10.0) over Bengals (WIN)
Records NFL Week #17 ATS : 10-5-1
Record for the 2009 Regular Season: 129-121-6 = 51.6%
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)