Go figure. Last week I start a new feature for the Cover the Spread Blog by adding my picks ATS for everyone to see and proceed to have my worst week of the season. 6-7 ATS is not completely disasterous, but if you are betting on the losing games, it can be. Like a prize fighter after losing an early round, I'm back and ready to go!
Here is The Vegas Whale's early picks for NFL Week 9 (home teams are in CAPS):
JAGUARS (-6.5) over Chiefs
Tough game - two really bad teams here. Won't be betting the spread on this one but may be tempted by the UNDER. Watch the weather report before laying down any cheese on that selection. Taking the under was the only lesson I got reminded of this past week when seeing two bad teams play each other like the Rams vs Lions. (See also Chiefs vs Raiders or Rams vs Redskins from Week #2 as further proof of this theory on the Under!)
Ravens (+3.0) over BENGALS
Ravens will be looking for some revenge after losing to the Bengals earlier this season. Cincinnati is coming off a BYE, but not convinced they are legit.
COLTS (-9.0) over Texans
The Texans lost stud TE Owen Daniels for the season to an ACL injury against the Bills. Be surprised if they can come up with two straight road wins - thought the opening line would be higher on this one, so this is looking like a strong play this week.
ATLANTA (-11.5) over Washington
Washington is a bad team that has lost their best O-lineman for the season. Portis looks slow and old and Atlanta is pretty dominate at home the past two years. Figured out who I like in this one yet?
Green Bay (-10.5) over BUCCANEERS
Tampa Bay might not win a game this year. Best chance will be Week 13 against the Panthers. At least with the Rams and Titans getting their first wins this means better chance at 1st overall pick in draft for them. Tim Tebow stays in Florida perhaps?
Cardinals (+3.0) over BEARS
The Cardinals looked really bad this past week against a below average Panthers team. Six turnovers will do that to you AND YET they still had a chance to make it close in the 4th quarter until turnover #6 happened. The Cards seem to be better on the road this year and the Bears have failed to impress against anyone good this year - an unmotivated Steelers team comes the closest. Not a strong play, but hard to take the Bears until they start beating above average teams like this on a consistent basis.
PATRIOTS (-11.0) over Dolphins
Dolphins got a lot of points last week off special teams - their offense was pretty bad and managed to do just enough not to lose the game against the Jets. (Way to go combine player of the year Ted Ginn Jr. You saved your starting job, but you still suck as a wide-receiver.) Patriots will be at home off a Bye, gotta like this pick.
SAINTS (-14.0) over Panthers
Panthers beat a team by getting six turnovers last week, that is not happening against the Saints. This should be a beat down. Keep riding the Saints as long as you can.
SEAHAWKS (-10.0) over Lions
Dangerous game. The Seahawks are so decimated by injuries, but play well at home against teams that have to fly across the country to play them. The Lions are pretty bad, as witnessed by their loss to the Rams last week. IF Megatron is back healthy I might reconsider this pick, otherwise the Hawks should roll.
49ERS (-5.0) over Titans
The 49ers are better with Gore in the lineup. The Titans will be happy to have won a game and will be more relaxed on the flight to Candlestick, but I'm not buying that they are decent team. They beat a bad Jaguars team and 49ers will be hungry to keep pace with the Cardinals in their division.
GIANTS (-3.5) over Chargers
The Chargers can put up points, but their once strong defense isn't what it used to be. Tough to put any money on this game though as the Giants haven't beaten any quality teams yet. (Not sure if the Chargers qualify as a quality team though.)
EAGLES (-3.5) over Cowboys
The Eagles are becoming a shizzo team this year. Lose to the Raiders a few weeks ago and then blow out the Giants is proof of that. Think the Eagles will be up for the NBC Sunday night game. Romo is due to throw some picks with the spotlight on him.
BRONCOS (+3.0) over Steelers
Good game. The Broncos may be coming back down to earth after a great start to the season, but will try riding them for one more time and see if I get bucked.
Let's hear what you got to say.
The Vegas Whale record ATS since Week #8: 6-7
No comments:
Post a Comment