Laying Down Your Cheese - NFL Week 13

Thursday December 3rd:
BILLS (+3.0) over Jets (Loss)

And some early picks for the rest of the week...

Sunday December 6th:
Broncos (+5.0) over CHIEFS (WIN)
Raiders (+15.0) over STEELERS (WIN)
Texans (-1.0) over Jaguars (LOSS)
Titans (+7.0) over COLTS (LOSS)
EAGLES (-5.5) over FALCONS (WIN)
BENGALS (-13.0) over Lions (LOSS)
REDSKINS (+10.0) over Saints (WIN)
Bucs (+5.0) over PANTHERS (LOSS)
BEARS (-9.0) over Rams (LOSS)
Patriots (-5.5) over DOLPHINS (LOSS)
Chargers (-13.0) over BROWNS (LOSS)
SEAHAWKS (+1.0) over 49ers (-1.0) (WIN)
Cowboys (-2.0) over GIANTS (LOSS)
Vikings (-7.0) over CARDINALS (LOSS)

Monday December 7:
PACKERS (-3.0) over Ravens (WIN)

Week #13 ATS: 6-10

Laying Down Your Cheese - NFL Week 12

Turkey Day Games:
Packers (-12) over LIONS (WIN)
DALLAS (-14) over Raiders (WIN)
BRONCOS (+7) over Giants (WIN)

Sunday Games (EST):
TEXANS (+3.5) over Colts (Loss)
BENGALS (-14.0) over Browns (Loss)
EAGLES (-9.5) over Redskins (Loss)
Dolphins (-3.5) over BILLS (Loss)
Seahawks (-3.5) over RAMS (WIN)
FALCONS (-13.0) over Bucs (Loss)
Panthers (+3.0) over JETS (Loss)
49ers (-3.5) over Jaguars (WIN)
CHARGERS (-14.0) over Chiefs (WIN)
VIKINGS (-11.0) over Bears (WIN))
TITANS (-1.0) over Cardinals (WIN)
RAVENS (-3.0) over Steelers (PUSH)

Monday Night Football (EST):
SAINTS (-3.0) over Patriots (WIN)

Record ATS for Week #12: 9-7

Overal record ATS since Week #8: 32-38-3

Laying Down Your Cheese - NFL Week 11

Here is Cover the Spread's staff picks for this week.... good luck:

PANTHERS (-3) over Dolphins (LOSS)
LIONS (-3.5) over Browns (Loss)
JAGUARS (-9.0) over Bills (Loss)
Steelers (-11.0) over CHIEFS (Loss)
RAVENS (+2.5) over Colts (Win)
GIANTS (-7.0) over Falcons (Loss)
PACKERS (-6.0) over 49ers (PUSH)
VIKINGS (-11.0) over Seahawks (Win)
Redskins (+11.0) over COWBOYS (Win)
Saints (-11.0) over BUCS (Win)
Cardinals (-9.0) over RAMS (Loss)
PATRIOTS (-10.5) over Jets (Win)
Bengals (-10.0) over RAIDERS (Loss)
Chargers (-6.0) over BRONCOS (Win)
Eagles (-3.0) over BEARS (Win)
HOUSTON (-4.5) over Titans (Loss)

Record ATS for Week #11: 7-8-1

Teaser for the week: Steelers -3.0, Vikings -4.0, Cardinals -3.0, Patriots -4.5, Redskins +18.0, Bills +15.5
(5 for 6 - thanks to the Steelers! Crap!)

Cover the Spread ATS since NFL Week #8: 23-32-2

Early Lines & Predictions for NFL Week 11

Yikes! Another bad week for the Vegas Whale. Keeping my betting units consistent saved me some cheese after going a dissapointing 3 for 7 in week 10. Feeling a bit like Bill Belichick without the three Superbowls at the moment. Definitely he takes over for Andy Reid as goat of the week... baaah!

Back from a mini-vacation, and focused on delivering some good results this week. Here is the early vegas lines for NFL Week #11 and a prediction for the Thursday night game. Subject to change as the week progresses:

PANTHERS (-3) over Dolphins **Thursday Night
Ronnie Brown goes down with ankle injury - not sure how many points the Dolphins can score without him in the lineup. The Panthers have all the sudden become a good team. Could always run the ball and now Delholme isn't looking so terrible anymore along with a motivated defense. I know both teams are 4-5 but this matchup looks a little more one-sided - take the home team here.

The rest of the lines look like this....
Browns (+3) @ LIONS, O/U 38
Bills (+8.5) @ JAGUARS, O/U 43
Steelers (-10.0) @ CHIEFS, O/U 40
Colts (Pick) @ RAVENS, O/U 44
Falconts (+6.0) @ GIANTS, O/U 46
49ers (+7.0) @ PACKERS, O/U 42
Seahawks (+11.0) @ VIKINGS, O/U 46.5
Redskins (+11.0) @ COWBOYS, O/U 41.5
Saints (-11.0) @ BUCS, O/U 51
Cardinals (-9.0) over RAMS O/U 47
Jets (+10.5) @ PATRIOTS , O/U 45
Bengals (-10.0) @ RAIDERS, O/U 36
Chargers (-3.0) @ BRONCOS, O/U TBD
Eagles (-3.0) @ BEARS, O/U 45
Titans (+5.0) @ HOUSTON, O/U 48 **MNF

Laying Down Your Cheese - NFL Week 10

Here are the Vegas Whales Picks for NFL Week#10. Gonna be in Tofino for the weekend, so games going up a bit earlier. Nice to see Bill Simmon and I are pretty close in our thinking. He has the Jaguars, Chargers and his beloved Bengals pulling upsets, otherwise very similar thoughts. Here are the picks:

49ERS (-3.0) over Bears (WIN)
NY JETS (-7.0) over Jaguars (Loss)
Broncos (-3.5) over REDSKINS (Loss)
STEELERS (-7.0) over Bengals (Loss)
TITANS (-7.0) over Bills (Win)
VIKINGS (-17.0) over Lions (Push)
Saints (-14.0) over RAMS (Loss)
Falcons (-2.0) over PANTHERS (Loss)
DOLPHINS (-10.0) over Buccannears (Loss)
RAIDERS (-2.0) over Chiefs (Loss)
CARDINALS (-9.0) over Seahawks (Win)
Eagles (+3.0) over CHARGERS (Loss)
Cowboys (-3.0) over PACKERS (Loss)
COLTS (-3.0) over Patriots (Loss)
Ravens (-11.0) over BROWNS (Win)

Best 5 Bets: Falcons -2.0, Saints -14, Brocos -3.5, Cowboys -3.0, Ravens -11.0

The Vegas Whale's record ATS for Week 10: 4-10-1

Records for the season: 16-24-1 (YIKES!)

NFL Week 10 - Early Lines & Predictions

15 Games this week including the welcome addition of Thursday night football. Here are the Vegas Whales Picks for NFL Week #10 (Home teams are in caps)

49ERS (-3.0) over Bears
Like the home team in this matchup as mentioned in earlier post. The Bears on a short week having to travel to Candlestick and not convinced the Bears are very good at all. Expect a close game but only have to cover 3 points here.

NY JETS (-7.0) over Jaguars
The Jets will be at home coming off a bye which is a strong betting play. We've been burned way too much by the Jaguars this season so can't bet them anymore. They are not a great team this year and are 1-3 on the road so take the home team here.

Broncos (-3.5) over REDSKINS
Surprised at the lack of respect the Broncos are getting (a 6-2 team) gets versus a very poor Redskins squad (a 2-6 team). No Portis, no Samuels, and no chance of winning here. Take advantage of Vegas on this one.

STEELERS (-7.0) over Bengals
The Steelers are maybe the hottest team in football and with Polamalu back for this rematch, their defense is again one of the best in the league. The Bengals need to prove they can win this type of game and until they do, I ride the Super Bowl champs who will be up for this division contest.

TITANS (-7.0) over Bills
No bet here. The Bills are terrible and if they weren't coming off a bye I would lay money on the Titans in this matchup. Hard to expect a Vince Young run offense to win by at least a touchdown, so will probably stay away from this one with better plays out there this week.

VIKINGS (-17.0) over Lions
Expecting an absolute beat down here. 17 points is a lot to lay down, but if you have seen the Lions play the past couple weeks, you have to like your chances!

Saints (-14.0) over RAMS
Almost exact same type of game as the one above. I know the RAMS are at home and coming off a bye, but com'mon man, its the RAMS! Be surprised if this isn't a 30 point beat down.

Falcons (-2.0) over PANTHERS
I admit some love for the Falcons lately, and was shocked at the small vegas spread on this one. Stack to the box, put your best corner on Steve Smith, and force a Jake Deholme to beat you with his pop-gun arm. I'm hoping that the Falcons show they are solid team this week and will bet accordingly.

DOLPHINS (-10.0) over Buccannears
I am a little worried that the Dolphins could be down emotionally after throwing a lot at the Patriots and coming up short. 10 points is a lot, but TB is not that good so expect a cover, might be some better plays out there this week with 10+ points needed.

RAIDERS (-2.0) over Chiefs
Don't like either team, so not gonna bet the spread here. Probably the better bet would be to take the UNDER 37 on this one based on their last matchup. (Week 2 - Oakland won 13-10.)

CARDINALS (-9.0) over Seahawks
This is the make or break the season game for the Seahawks. I think they are a bad team this year and expect the Cardinals to show they are the class of the NFC West. (Yikes)

Eagles (+3.0) over CHARGERS
Mostly a gut feel on this one, but may change my mind before kickoff. The Chargers were not overly impressive against the Giants other than the last minute drive to win the game. (The Giants are pretty bad too.) Sad to see the dimise of LT. Eagles are such a shizzo team this year - hoping this is a good week for them. Line seems appropriate.

Cowboys (-3.0) over PACKERS
I'm a little scared about the Packers being mad after the embarrassing loss to the Bucs last week. A bit of a rivalry game here too. But I also believe the Pack are not that great of a team this year. Take the boys to cover the small 3 point spread as they seem to be hitting their stride and joining the elite squads in the NFC.

COLTS (-3.0) over Patriots
Watch this one as a fan and stay away from betting either team here. The Patriots want this one, but the Colts will be at home and are among the league's best.

Ravens (-11.0) over BROWNS
Ravens should easily cover against the worst team in football. Too bad ESPN has to show this one on Monday Night Football. Ugh.

NFL Week 10 - The Start of Thursday Night Football

Mid November means Thursday night football is finally back - gotta love being able to watch games three times a week!

This Thursday we got to see the Bears travel across the country to Candlestick Park to play a reeling 49ers squad. Coach Singletary will have his old team in town, and he needs to get his squad to start playing defense like he did back in the day. The 49er offense depends very heavily on Frank Gore as their quarterback play is very suspect and their offensive line is really banged up at the moment.

Opening line has the 49ers as an early 3 point favourite at home. Take the home team here, but don't bet the farm on this one. The Bears are proving they can't compete against any teams of quality - not sure if the 49ers qualify as one - but regardless thinking this contest is shaping up to be a close one.

Goat of the Week - Coach Andy Reid

Wow - A great Sunday Night game was shaping up tonight between the Cowboys and the Eagles. For all of those who believe coaching doesn't have a major affect on the outcome, this game is proof that it most certainly does. Coach Reid completely wasted two timeouts on some questionable challenges which turned out to be vitale down the stretch. Burning your final timeout with 8 minutes to go in a close game is just plain dumb!

Dude unless you got the call from the gambling sharks from Vegas, you certainly cost quite a few gamblers some money this weekend. For that reason you are the Goat of the Week. Baaaaaah to you!