Saturday, October 16, 2010

Best Bets - NFL Week 6

There certainly is a lot of jumping around happening in Wisconsin with the Badgers pulling the upset over #1 Ohio State.  Second week in a row we see the #1 team lose.  Looks like the Ducks from Oregon will take over the top spot and perhaps Boise State going to be #2.  Look out for Oklahoma though, but they first got a big matchup against Missouri next week - if they get through that they got a shot at BCS glory.  

Now it's time for kickoff to NFL Week #6.  The leaders of all the betting contests have been riding the underdogs hard this season.  Not much strategy to picking 14 underdogs but it seems to be working well.  Does the trend continue?  Lets see our 5 best bets:

1) Pittsburgh -14 vs Cleveland.   Hard to back a team that is starting a third round rookie QB (McCoy) in his first ever game in the NFL againist the #1 defense in the league.  (There could be a lot of moments like this picture on the right.) As long as Big Ben plays a solid game this should be a beat down. 

2) Atlanta +2.5 @ Philly.  Atlanta has a great running game which should be able to control the time of possession here and wear down an average Eagles defense. The Eagles will have trouble with pass pretection as their LT Jason Peters is out with injury and his replacement was a big reason the 49ers were able to crawl back in the 2nd half last week and make it close game. The dirty birds might be the better side here so like the fact we are getting points.

3) Houston -4.5 vs Kansas City.  Mostly just following CrazyDavo's Constanza theory here.  Kansas City is in a tough spot and Houston appears to be a zig - zag team who should be zigging with a healthier line up at home.  Kansas City QB doesn't have ability or the receivers to take advantage of the Texans weakness which is their secondary.  KC is still in good shape and like them with the upcoming schedule for future weeks.

4) Miami +3.5 vs Green Bay.  Way too many injuries for the Packers to overcome here especially playing a hungry team coming off the bye.  The Packers are too one demensional with no running game and have to rely heavily on Rodgers - Miami will be up to the challenge.

5)  Denver +3.5 vs NY Jets.  This is basically a bad spot for the Jets.  They have played 3 straight 'big' games and now have to travel across the country on a short week to play a team who also seems to zig-zag in the Broncos.  The Bronc catch a break with Revis and Pace not 100% and Kyle Orton is playing well.

If I was looking to add some games to make this a teaser, liking STL +15, DET +16, BAL +10, TB +11, and CHI -1 to the mix for an interesting 10 gamer.

Good Luck and lets win some money!

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